The French political evolution : a worrying trend

The pension reform is creating a big debate in France. In my opinion it is linked to the fact the conception of work stems from different approaches from the XIXth century. It is possible to say that France has a strong Marxist tradition, as well as Italy, and to the extend it doesn’t accept as much as European Northern countries social dialog. As Marxism is linked to fight between classes, reformism is based on a mentality of compromise : Fourier, for instance, a socialist utopist of the XIXth century, told about reconciliation of classes.

However polls show that France is today in a vast majority in the right ring. Today the left in mainly dominated by the NUPES. To that extend it looks surprising that a lot of French disagree with the Macron pension reform, to the extend work is at the heart of the liberal ideology. The philosopher Locke thought to this extend that the legitimacy of property was linked to the notion of work.

It looks that the views of Macron create a lot of controversy. But the first beneficiaries are the RN, not the NUPES. The Marine le Pen’s party looks to be the real winner of the confrontation, as she succeeded to promote serious behaviors from RN’s deputies. This approach looks to be traditionally very efficient. Already under the IInd Republic the vast majority of people (especially from the campaigns) preferred to elect Louis Napoleon Bonaparte rather than the Republicans, because he looked more reassuring. This reaction sounds logical, as the behavior of many politicians seems childish and irresponsible. But misfortunately it is the extreme right that gains from it.

The behavior of politicians is giving a really bad image of society. Everywhere in this sphere the level of basic respect is decreasing, as well as the rise of intolerance. To this extend it is possible that Marine le Pen may win the presidential elections in 2027. As the traditional parties have often been charged with corruption, and are not trusted by a large majority of the population. In my opinion the last one who really was elected was Nicolas Sarkozy in 2007. Whatever we may think about the candidate of this time and his ideas, they looked coherent, well built and supporting a real project. However it looked that this approach is decreasing. All those factors are worrying : in we consider the lack of credibility of main political traditional parties, things will lean more and more to the extremes. That has been verified in the last elections : if we combine le Pen, Melenchon and Zemmour, the extremes are majoritarian in the French political spectrum.

I don’t think we are in such a worrying tense than it was during the 1930’s. However many say we live in a period of real social crisis, as the lack of trust towards politicians show. The yellow vest movement was, in my opinion, a lot wider than against Macron himself, but towards the political spectrum, an inefficient public service… Paradoxically, at the same time, delinquency has never been so unpunished. The events in the Stadium of France last year show that. These factors are worrying for the coming years.  

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